12월20일 (로이터) - (표) 연방준비제도 경제 전망
MEDIAN VIEW OF APPROPRIATE FEDERAL FUNDS RATE (in percent)
DEC SEPT JUNE MARCH DEC '17
End-2018 2.375 2.375 2.375 2.125 2.125
End-2019 2.875 3.125 3.125 2.875 2.688
End-2020 3.125 3.375 3.375 3.375 3.063
End-2021 3.125 3.375 N/A N/A N/A
Longer-run 2.750 3.000 2.875 2.875 2.750
MEDIAN
Real GDP 2018 2019 2020 2021 Longer-Run
Dec 3.0 2.3 2.0 1.8 1.9
Sept 3.1 2.5 2.0 1.8 1.8
Unemployment
Dec 3.7 3.5 3.6 3.8 4.4
Sept 3.7 3.5 3.5 3.7 4.5
PCE Price Index
Dec 1.9 1.9 2.1 2.1 2.0
Sept 2.1 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.0
Core PCE index
Dec 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 N/A
Sept 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.1 N/A
CENTRAL TENDENCY FORECASTS
Real GDP 2018 2019 2020 2021 Longer Run
Dec 3.0 to 3.1 2.3 to 2.5 1.8 to 2.0 1.5 to 2.0 1.8 to 2.0
Sept 3.0 to 3.2 2.4 to 2.7 1.8 to 2.1 1.6 to 2.0 1.8 to 2.0
Unemployment
Dec 3.7 3.5 to 3.7 3.5 to 3.8 3.6 to 3.9 4.2 to 4.5
Sept 3.7 3.4 to 3.6 3.4 to 3.8 3.5 to 4.0 4.3 to 4.6
PCE Price Index
Dec 1.8 to 1.9 1.8 to 2.1 2.0 to 2.1 2.0 to 2.1 2.0
Sept 2.0 to 2.1 2.0 to 2.1 2.1 to 2.2 2.0 to 2.2 2.0
Core PCE index
Dec 1.8 to 1.9 2.0 to 2.1 2.0 to 2.1 2.0 to 2.1 N/A
Sept 1.9 to 2.0 2.0 to 2.1 2.1 to 2.2 2.0 to 2.2 N/A
* Prior forecasts were released on Sept 26, 2018
(신안나 기자)