6월16일 (로이터) - 다음은 미국 연방준비제도가 15일(현지시간) 미국 경제 전망치입니다.
MEDIAN VIEW OF APPROPRIATE FEDERAL FUNDS RATE (in percent)
JUNE MARCH DEC SEPT JUNE
End-2016 0.875 0.875 1.375 1.375 1.625
End-2017 1.625 1.875 2.375 2.625 2.875
End-2018 2.375 3.000 3.250 3.375 N/A
Longer-run 3.000 3.250 3.500 3.500 3.750
MEDIAN
Real GDP 2016 2017 2018 Longer Run
June 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0
March 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.0
Unemployment
June 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.8
March 4.7 4.6 4.5 4.8
PCE Price Index
June 1.4 1.9 2.0 2.0
March 1.2 1.9 2.0 2.0
Core PCE index
June 1.7 1.9 2.0 N/A
March 1.6 1.8 2.0 N/A
CENTRAL TENDENCY FORECASTS
Real GDP 2016 2017 2018 Longer Run
June 1.9 to 2.0 1.9 to 2.2 1.8 to 2.1 1.8 to 2.0
March 2.1 to 2.3 2.0 to 2.3 1.8 to 2.1 1.8 to 2.1
Unemployment
June 4.6 to 4.8 4.5 to 4.7 4.4 to 4.8 4.7 to 5.0
March 4.6 to 4.8 4.5 to 4.7 4.5 to 5.0 4.7 to 5.0
PCE Price Index
June 1.3 to 1.7 1.7 to 2.0 1.9 to 2.0 2.0
March 1.0 to 1.6 1.7 to 2.0 1.9 to 2.0 2.0
Core PCE index
June 1.6 to 1.8 1.7 to 2.0 1.9-2.0 N/A
March 1.4 to 1.7 1.7 to 2.0 1.9-2.0 N/A
(All figures Q4 over Q4, except jobless rate, which is Q4 average, and all figures in percent)
Notes:
N/A-not available
Prior forecasts were released on March 16, 2016.
The U.S. central bank has said the longer-run projections for growth and unemployment may be int
erpreted as estimates of rates that appear sustainable in the long run.
The long-run inflation projection may be interpreted as the rate Fed officials see as consistent
with their dual objectives of maximum sustainable employment and price stability.
(이진원 기자)