(표) 연준 경제 전망치

12월14일 (로이터) - 연준 경제 전망치

MEDIAN VIEW OF APPROPRIATE FEDERAL FUNDS RATE (in percent)

DEC SEPT JUNE MARCH DEC '16
End-2017 1.375 1.375 1.375 1.375 1.375
End-2018 2.125 2.125 2.125 2.125 2.125
End-2019 2.688 2.688 2.938 3.000 2.875
End-2020 3.063 2.875 N/A N/A N/A
Longer-run 2.750 2.750 3.000 3.000 3.000

MEDIAN
Real GDP 2017 2018 2019 2020 Longer Run
Dec 2.5 2.5 2.1 2.0 1.8
Sept 2.4 2.1 2.0 1.8 1.8

Unemployment
Dec 4.1 3.9 3.9 4.0 4.6
Sept 4.3 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.6

PCE Price Index
Dec 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0
Sept 1.6 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0

Core PCE index
Dec 1.5 1.9 2.0 2.0 N/A
Sept 1.5 1.9 2.0 2.0 N/A

CENTRAL TENDENCY FORECASTS
Real GDP 2017 2018 2019 2020 Longer Run
Dec 2.4 to 2.5 2.2 to 2.6 1.9 to 2.3 1.7 to 2.0 1.8 to 1.9
Sept 2.2 to 2.5 2.0 to 2.3 1.7 to 2.1 1.6 to 2.0 1.8 to 2.0

Unemployment
Dec 4.1 3.7 to 4.0 3.6 to 4.0 3.6 to 4.2 4.4 to 4.7
Sept 4.2 to 4.3 4.0 to 4.2 3.9 to 4.4 4.0 to 4.5 4.5 to 4.8

PCE Price Index
Dec 1.6 to 1.7 1.7 to 1.9 2.0 2.0 to 2.1 2.0
Sept 1.5 to 1.6 1.8 to 2.0 2.0 2.0 to 2.1 2.0

Core PCE index
Dec 1.5 1.7 to 1.9 2.0 2.0 to 2.1 N/A
Sept 1.5 to 1.6 1.8 to 2.0 2.0 2.0 to 2.1 N/A

(김지연 기자)