6월15일 (로이터) - 다음은 미국 연방준비제도가 14일(현지시간) 발표한 미국 경
제 전망입니다. (%, 실업률 제외하고 전년 대비)
JUNE MARCH DEC SEPT JUNE '16
End-2017 1.375 1.375 1.375 1.125 1.625
End-2018 2.125 2.125 2.125 1.875 2.375
End-2019 2.938 3.000 2.875 2.625 N/A
Longer-run 3.000 3.000 3.000 2.900 3.000
MEDIAN
Real GDP 2017 2018 2019 Longer Run
June 2.2 2.1 1.9 1.8
March 2.1 2.1 1.9 1.8
Unemployment
June 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.6
March 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.7
PCE Price Index
June 1.6 2.0 2.0 2.0
March 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0
Core PCE index
June 1.7 2.0 2.0 N/A
March 1.9 2.0 2.0 N/A
CENTRAL TENDENCY FORECASTS
Real GDP 2017 2018 2019 Longer Run
June 2.1 to 2.2 1.8 to 2.2 1.8 to 2.0 1.8 to 2.0
March 2.0 to 2.2 1.8 to 2.3 1.8 to 2.0 1.8 to 2.0
Unemployment
June 4.2 to 4.3 4.0 to 4.3 4.1 to 4.4 4.5 to 4.8
March 4.5 to 4.6 4.3 to 4.6 4.3 to 4.7 4.7 to 5.0
PCE Price Index
June 1.6 to 1.7 1.8 to 2.0 2.0 to 2.1 2.0
March 1.8 to 2.0 1.9 to 2.0 2.0 to 2.1 2.0
Core PCE index
June 1.6 to 1.7 1.8 to 2.0 2.0 to 2.1 N/A
March 1.8 to 1.9 1.9 to 2.0 2.0 to 2.1 N/A
Notes:
N/A-not available
Prior forecasts were released on March 15, 2017 The U.S. central bank has said t
he longer-run projections for growth and unemployment may be interpreted as esti
mates of rates that appear sustainable in the long run. The long-run inflation p
rojection may be interpreted as the rate Fed officials see as consistent with th
eir dual objectives of maximum sustainable employment and price stability.
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