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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 0.7x - 0.8x | 0.8x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0.8x - 0.8x | 0.8x |
| Fair Value | ¥790.88 - ¥938.33 | ¥864.61 |
| Upside | -21.7% - -7.1% | -14.4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Ichimasa Kamaboko Co., Ltd. | 2904 | TSE:2904 |
| Key Coffee Inc. | 2594 | TSE:2594 |
| Kakiyasu Honten Co., Ltd. | 2294 | TSE:2294 |
| Ohmoriya Co.,Ltd. | 2917 | TSE:2917 |
| AXYZ Co., Ltd. | 1381 | TSE:1381 |
| Akikawa Foods & Farms Co., Ltd. | 1380 | TSE:1380 |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 2904 | 2594 | 2294 | 2917 | 1381 | 1380 | |||
| TSE:2904 | TSE:2594 | TSE:2294 | TSE:2917 | TSE:1381 | TSE:1380 | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -0.6% | 3.0% | NM- | -2.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -0.2% | 11.9% | NM- | -3.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 3.3% | 6.1% | NM | 10.4% | 2.9% | 5.5% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 2.9% | -0.3% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 10.8% | 1.4% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | -0.7% | 0.4% | 8.0% | 2.6% | 7.9% | 0.3% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 3.6% | 1.0% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 6.1% | 0.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 4.0% | 1.1% | 5.0% | 0.3% | 5.7% | -1.5% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.63x | 0.59x | 0.60x | 0.33x | 0.34x | 0.87x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 15.9x | 51.7x | 12.1x | 112.2x | 5.9x | -56.3x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.40x | 0.57x | 0.84x | 0.28x | 0.64x | 0.54x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.33x | 0.59x | 0.63x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.83x | 0.88x | 0.98x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 0.75x | 0.79x | 0.83x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 7,767 | 7,767 | 7,767 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 5,820 | 6,126 | 6,433 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (2,543) | (2,543) | (2,543) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 3,277 | 3,583 | 3,890 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 786.02 | 859.49 | 932.97 | |||||
| FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 786.02 | 859.49 | 932.97 | 1,010.00 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -22.2% | -14.9% | -7.6% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 2904 | 2594 | 2294 | 2917 | 1381 | 1380 | |
| Enterprise Value | 21,988 | 45,696 | 21,729 | 5,384 | 8,817 | 6,754 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,201 | 5,222 | 7,032 | 1,781 | 6,962 | 696 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 2,117 | 3,877 | 1,459 | 674 | 907 | 302 | |
| (-) Debt | (11,360) | (10,344) | 0 | (3,262) | (35) | (3,537) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (103) | (318) | 0 | 0 | 0 | (4) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 13,843 | 44,133 | 30,220 | 4,577 | 16,651 | 4,211 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 18.4 | 21.4 | 9.6 | 5.0 | 5.6 | 4.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 752.00 | 2,061.00 | 3,155.00 | 915.00 | 2,965.00 | 1,010.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 752.00 | 2,061.00 | 3,155.00 | 915.00 | 2,965.00 | 1,010.00 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |