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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 4.3x - 4.7x | 4.5x |
Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 3.3x - 3.6x | 3.5x |
Fair Value | ﷼136.92 - ﷼151.90 | ﷼144.41 |
Upside | 12.0% - 24.3% | 18.2% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Al Hammadi Holding Company | 4007 | SASE:4007 |
Mouwasat Medical Services Company | 4002 | SASE:4002 |
Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group Company | 4013 | SASE:4013 |
Almoosa Health Company | 4018 | SASE:4018 |
National Medical Care Company | 4005 | SASE:4005 |
Dallah Healthcare Company | 4004 | SASE:4004 |
Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
4007 | 4002 | 4013 | 4018 | 4005 | 4004 | |||
SASE:4007 | SASE:4002 | SASE:4013 | SASE:4018 | SASE:4005 | SASE:4004 | |||
Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 3.4% | 9.2% | 17.4% | NM- | 12.8% | 20.7% | ||
3Y CAGR | 6.6% | 10.3% | 15.6% | 19.7% | 15.2% | 15.0% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -1.9% | 6.4% | 17.8% | 22.8% | 19.6% | 8.9% | ||
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 21.3% | 27.9% | 20.3% | 12.2% | 19.2% | 15.9% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 29.1% | 28.0% | 22.0% | 12.7% | 22.8% | 17.2% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 26.5% | 25.1% | 21.0% | 15.1% | 19.7% | 17.7% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 26.5% | 25.1% | 21.0% | 15.1% | 19.7% | 17.7% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 5.59x | 5.19x | 9.03x | 6.58x | 5.24x | 3.93x | ||
EV / LTM EBIT | 21.1x | 20.6x | 42.9x | 43.5x | 26.6x | 22.2x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 5.66x | 5.05x | 8.52x | 5.49x | 5.30x | 3.77x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 5.19x | 5.59x | 9.03x | |||||
Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 3.93x | 4.20x | 6.22x | |||||
Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 4.25x | 4.48x | 4.70x | |||||
(x) LTM Revenue | 3,206 | 3,206 | 3,206 | |||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 13,638 | 14,355 | 15,073 | |||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (528) | (528) | (528) | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 13,109 | 13,827 | 14,545 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 97.3 | 97.3 | 97.3 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 134.72 | 142.10 | 149.48 | |||||
FX Rate: SAR/SAR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 134.72 | 142.10 | 149.48 | 122.20 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 10.2% | 16.3% | 22.3% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 4007 | 4002 | 4013 | 4018 | 4005 | 4004 | |
Enterprise Value | 6,452 | 14,935 | 100,447 | 7,828 | 6,756 | 12,419 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 245 | 512 | 2,891 | 38 | 567 | 166 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 135 | 0 | 465 | 9 | 0 | 1,607 | |
(-) Debt | (304) | (762) | (8,165) | (1,353) | (488) | (2,023) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (145) | (438) | 0 | 0 | (278) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 6,528 | 14,540 | 95,200 | 6,521 | 6,835 | 11,891 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 160.0 | 200.0 | 350.0 | 44.3 | 44.9 | 97.3 | |
Implied Stock Price | 40.80 | 72.70 | 272.00 | 147.20 | 152.40 | 122.20 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 40.80 | 72.70 | 272.00 | 147.20 | 152.40 | 122.20 | |
Trading Currency | SAR | SAR | SAR | SAR | SAR | SAR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |