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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 22.8x - 25.2x | 24.0x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 17.5x - 19.4x | 18.4x |
| Fair Value | ₹1,656 - ₹1,838 | ₹1,747 |
| Upside | 34.8% - 49.7% | 42.2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Suraj Limited | SURAJLTD | NSEI:SURAJLTD |
| Goodluck India Limited | GOODLUCK | NSEI:GOODLUCK |
| Steel Authority of India Limited | SAIL | NSEI:SAIL |
| Hi-Tech Pipes Limited | HITECH | NSEI:HITECH |
| Swastik Pipe Limited | SWASTIK | NSEI:SWASTIK |
| Venus Pipes and Tubes Limited | VENUSPIPES | NSEI:VENUSPIPES |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| SURAJLTD | GOODLUCK | SAIL | HITECH | SWASTIK | VENUSPIPES | ||
| NSEI:SURAJLTD | NSEI:GOODLUCK | NSEI:SAIL | NSEI:HITECH | NSEI:SWASTIK | NSEI:VENUSPIPES | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 21.8% | 19.5% | -1.7% | 7.4% | -6.5% | 79.4% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 64.8% | 38.7% | -11.3% | 16.7% | -7.7% | 58.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -19.9% | 4.8% | -14.9% | 39.9% | -44.0% | 34.0% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 13.5% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 12.2% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 16.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 12.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 16.6% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 3.11x | 0.79x | 0.87x | 0.81x | 0.27x | 2.88x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 18.8x | 10.1x | 8.4x | 15.9x | 8.9x | 15.4x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 25.1x | 11.5x | 16.4x | 17.8x | 11.5x | 17.3x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 11.5x | 16.4x | 25.1x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 24.8x | 29.7x | 34.7x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 22.8x | 24.0x | 25.2x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 1,535 | 1,535 | 1,535 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 34,986 | 36,827 | 38,668 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1,550) | (1,550) | (1,550) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 33,436 | 35,277 | 37,119 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 20.4 | 20.4 | 20.4 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 1,636.52 | 1,726.65 | 1,816.77 | ||||
| FX Rate: INR/INR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1,636.52 | 1,726.65 | 1,816.77 | 1,228.25 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 33.2% | 40.6% | 47.9% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | SURAJLTD | GOODLUCK | SAIL | HITECH | SWASTIK | VENUSPIPES | |
| Enterprise Value | 7,493 | 29,439 | 875,490 | 24,696 | 1,959 | 26,644 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 3 | 819 | 7,544 | 345 | 107 | 260 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (510) | (6,643) | (412,650) | (3,635) | (1,116) | (1,810) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 6,986 | 23,614 | 470,384 | 21,406 | 950 | 25,095 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 18.4 | 32.7 | 4,130.5 | 203.1 | 23.2 | 20.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 380.40 | 721.30 | 113.88 | 105.39 | 40.90 | 1,228.25 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 380.40 | 721.30 | 113.88 | 105.39 | 40.90 | 1,228.25 | |
| Trading Currency | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | INR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |