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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 2.4x - 2.7x | 2.6x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 2.3x - 2.5x | 2.4x |
| Fair Value | Mex$ 1,084 - Mex$ 1,222 | Mex$ 1,153 |
| Upside | -7.2% - 4.6% | -1.3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Beiersdorf Aktiengesellschaft | 0DQ7 | LSE:0DQ7 |
| L'Oréal S.A. | 0NZM | LSE:0NZM |
| Shiseido Company, Limited | SSDO.F | OTCPK:SSDO.F |
| Nu Skin Enterprises, Inc. | NUS | NYSE:NUS |
| Edgewell Personal Care Company | EPC | NYSE:EPC |
| Unilever PLC | UL N | BMV:ULN |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 0DQ7 | 0NZM | SSDO.F | NUS | EPC | UL N | |||
| LSE:0DQ7 | LSE:0NZM | OTCPK:SSDO.F | NYSE:NUS | NYSE:EPC | BMV:ULN | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 5.2% | 7.8% | -2.6% | -6.5% | 1.0% | 3.2% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 8.9% | 10.4% | -1.5% | -13.7% | 2.6% | 5.0% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 4.3% | 5.6% | 1.8% | -12.0% | -1.2% | 1.9% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 13.4% | 19.3% | 2.6% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 17.7% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 12.5% | 19.8% | 1.8% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 17.0% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 13.8% | 20.0% | 0.7% | 5.2% | 11.3% | 18.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 13.8% | 20.0% | 0.7% | 5.2% | 11.0% | 18.5% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.24x | 4.01x | 1.44x | 0.34x | 1.24x | 2.70x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 16.2x | 20.1x | 198.8x | 6.6x | 11.2x | 14.6x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 2.73x | 4.24x | 1.15x | 0.21x | 0.66x | 2.26x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.34x | 1.44x | 4.01x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 2.27x | 2.70x | 3.03x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 2.44x | 2.57x | 2.69x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 60,761 | 60,761 | 60,761 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 148,132 | 155,929 | 163,725 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (25,861) | (25,861) | (25,861) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 122,271 | 130,068 | 137,864 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,503.9 | 2,503.9 | 2,503.9 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 48.83 | 51.95 | 55.06 | |||||
| FX Rate: EUR/MXN | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1,078.92 | 1,147.72 | 1,216.51 | 1,168.00 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -7.6% | -1.7% | 4.2% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 0DQ7 | 0NZM | SSDO.F | NUS | EPC | UL N | |
| Enterprise Value | 22,001 | 174,660 | 1,336,697 | 591 | 2,771 | 158,227 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 2,503 | 4,081 | 98,479 | 207 | 176 | 7,318 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 2,466 | 14,337 | 2,908 | 40 | 0 | 1,439 | |
| (-) Debt | (114) | (8,495) | (363,160) | (478) | (1,468) | (32,053) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (20) | (5) | (22,169) | 0 | 0 | (2,565) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 26,836 | 184,579 | 1,052,755 | 359 | 1,478 | 132,366 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 223.2 | 534.3 | 399.4 | 49.7 | 48.2 | 2,503.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 120.22 | 345.45 | 2,635.69 | 7.22 | 30.65 | 52.86 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 149.76 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.05 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 120.22 | 345.45 | 17.60 | 7.22 | 30.65 | 1,168.00 | |
| Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | USD | USD | USD | MXN | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 149.76 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.05 | |